Notebook
Embracing Fallibilism
At its core, all progress is the pursuit of better explanations. This insight from David Deutsch recognizes that errors are unavoidable, and by correcting missteps, we expand our knowledge. Deutsch advocates for “Popperian falsification,” the notion that theories can never be definitively proven, only disproven through finding evidence that contradicts their predictions.
The Middle Path
Since its inception, prohibition proved to be a catastrophic endeavor, exerting negligible influence on the drinking habits of Americans (if not worsening matters). Moreover, it compromised the meaning of "temperance," a term whose original meaning warrants rediscovery.
Within Stoic philosophy (my favorite), temperance is one of the four cardinal virtues, alongside wisdom, courage, and justice.
Quiet Speaks Volumes
Albert Schweitzer is credited with saying, "my life is my argument." I don't know much about the man, but I know he was a humanitarian, theologian, philosopher, musician, charitable doctor, and mustache extraordinaire. He was controversial, but he wasn't one to lash out at his critics, name-call opponents, or strike back at detractors. In describing his intellectual pacifism to a friend, he wrote,
The Habit Ballot Box
James Clear wrote in Atomic Habits that “every action you take is a vote for the type of person you wish to become.” IT REALLY RESONATED because developing and maintaining positive habits has long been something I’ve tried to achieve. Maybe due to being raised by two military parents or possibly an inherent personality trait, I’ve always needed an elevated level of structure.
Insights from Yale's Well-Being Course
Technology provides a gateway to information. I read about Yale's Well-Being course, a popular choice among first-year students, and decided to check it on Coursera. The class helps students be happier and more productive.
In a series of posts, I'll share my favorite lessons from the course, along with thoughts and a few criticisms.
The Weaponization of Science
It's said that there is no such thing as science with a capital "S." The very idea of "the Science" is opposite the entire notion of real science. When the goal becomes consensus building, it is politics, not science. Further, a consensus is only valid to the extent that one has the freedom to disagree. When individual freedom is torn away, it's far worse than consensus building; it's coercion.
Pessimism is a Cop-Out
If you want to be often wrong and always miserable, you should be pessimistic. Pessimism might be the human default. It served us well during more dangerous eras of human existence when the outcomes of poor decisions were often deadly. But in the modern world, pessimism isn’t likely to save your life. Contrarily, pessimism leads to a life of stress, anxiety, and fear.
Mistakes as Assets
As Aristotle pointed out, “For what one has to learn to do, we learn by doing.” Public speaking mistakes helped me become a better public speaker. Horrendous investing mistakes helped me become a better investor. The fact is, errors are unavoidable, so we must welcome them as opportunities to get better.
Second-Order Thinking for Better Decisions
First-order thinking is what most people engage in most of the time. Marks described it as "simplistic and superficial," noting that "just about everyone can do it." It's not that first-order thinking is wrong or inferior. In contrast, second-order thinking is complex and requires significantly more effort.
Nuanced Thinking for a Better World
In music, the slight raising or lowering of pitch can brighten a song or alter its spirit. In paintings, a subtle color variation can change the tone of a work. And in fashion, nuance can tie a look together with "a little bit more, or a little bit less." But nuance is important far beyond the arts; it's key to a high functioning free society.